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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Kalmar FF cruise to a comfortable 2-0 victory over Umeå FC.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Kalmar FF beat Umeå FC 2-0 at Guldfågeln Arena, Regular Season - 9, in the Superettan. The remainder of the report sets that outcome against the pre-match model, the markets and the teams' data profiles.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Kalmar FF 1.96 xG and Umeå FC 0.69 xG, a combined 2.66. The scoreboard read 2-0 for 2 actual goals. Both sides finished within a goal of their individual projections, so the scoreline sat close to the model's expected shape. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Kalmar FF attack 0.99 / defence 0.80 against Umeå FC attack 0.68 / defence 1.36, drawn from 8/8 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Kalmar FF 67% | Draw 20% | Umeå FC 12%, with Kalmar FF to win its most likely call at 67%. The result followed the model's preferred path, landing its top-rated outcome.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 50%. The game delivered 2, so it stayed under — against the model's lean. Over 1.5 had been 74% and landed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 43% and the match did not — another call in the model's favour.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 3 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (hit). A strong night for the model: the result sat comfortably inside what the pre-match data projected.

💡 Key Insights