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Stalemate at Helsingborg's ground as both sides cancel each other out in a goalless draw.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Helsingborg and Landskrona BoIS finished level at 0-0 at Olympia, Regular Season - 22, in the Superettan. That is the final score; the rest of this report grades it against what the data forecast beforehand.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Helsingborg 1.34 xG and Landskrona BoIS 1.08 xG, a combined 2.41. The scoreboard read 0-0 for 0 actual goals. Helsingborg fell 1.3 short of their projected output. Landskrona BoIS landed 1.1 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Helsingborg attack 0.96 / defence 0.92 against Landskrona BoIS attack 0.96 / defence 0.95, drawn from 51/51 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Helsingborg 42% | Draw 29% | Landskrona BoIS 29%, with Helsingborg to win its most likely call at 42%. The actual draw had been the model's second-ranked read at 29%, so the result diverged from the top call without being a shock.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 43%. The game delivered 0, so it stayed under — the model's lean was correct. Over 1.5 had been 70% and missed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 49% and the match did not — another call in the model's favour. Historically the two sides average 54% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Helsingborg 53%, Landskrona BoIS 55%), a base rate that pointed the other way from today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 49%, which matched the one-sided outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

Helsingborg's trading profile (51 games, 25 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 41% of their matches — today it did not; they keep a clean sheet 37% of the time, and duly kept one; they fail to score in 33% of games, a blank that repeated today.

Landskrona BoIS's trading profile (51 games, 25 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 57% of their matches — today it did not.

Form vs Result

The form lines were close — Helsingborg 1.45 PPG, Landskrona BoIS 1.53 PPG — offering no strong steer, and the draw fit that even billing. Helsingborg (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.24 scoring average — below par going forward and conceded 0 against a 1.08 average — tighter than their form line. Landskrona BoIS (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.40 scoring average — below par going forward and conceded 0 against a 1.36 average — tighter than their form line.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 2 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (miss), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (hit). A mixed scorecard — the data caught the broad shape of the game but not every market.

💡 Key Insights