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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Prediction vindicated as Hammarby Talang edge out Orebro SK 1-0.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Hammarby Talang beat Orebro SK 1-0 at Hammarby IP, Final, in the Superettan. The remainder of the report sets that outcome against the pre-match model, the markets and the teams' data profiles.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Hammarby Talang 1.64 xG and Orebro SK 1.63 xG, a combined 3.27. The scoreboard read 1-0 for 1 actual goal. Orebro SK landed 1.6 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Hammarby Talang attack 0.85 / defence 1.15 against Orebro SK attack 1.13 / defence 1.23, drawn from 0/60 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Hammarby Talang 38% | Draw 25% | Orebro SK 37%, with Hammarby Talang to win its most likely call at 38%. The result followed the model's preferred path, landing its top-rated outcome.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 64%. The game delivered 1, so it stayed under — against the model's lean. Over 1.5 had been 85% and missed. Over 3.5 was 41% and did not. On both teams to score, the model sat at 66% and the match did not — a miss on BTTS.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 1 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (miss), BTTS (miss). This one broke away from the data — most of the pre-match signals were overturned by how the ninety minutes actually played out.

💡 Key Insights