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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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GIF Sundsvall cruise to a comfortable 2-0 victory over Helsingborg.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

GIF Sundsvall beat Helsingborg 2-0 at NP3 Arena, Regular Season - 1, in the Superettan. That is the final score; the rest of this report grades it against what the data forecast beforehand.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting GIF Sundsvall 1.48 xG and Helsingborg 1.21 xG, a combined 2.69. The scoreboard read 2-0 for 2 actual goals. Helsingborg landed 1.2 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of GIF Sundsvall attack 0.98 / defence 0.97 against Helsingborg attack 1.04 / defence 0.99, drawn from 30/30 games (PrevSeason).

On the result, the model split it GIF Sundsvall 42% | Draw 28% | Helsingborg 30%, with GIF Sundsvall to win its most likely call at 42%. The scoreboard confirmed the model's leading pick.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 50%. The game delivered 2, so it stayed under — a miss for the goals model. Over 1.5 had been 76% and landed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 55% and the match did not — a miss on BTTS. Historically the two sides average 49% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (GIF Sundsvall 50%, Helsingborg 48%), a base rate that agreed with today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 48%, which matched the one-sided outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

GIF Sundsvall's trading profile (60 games, 30 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 48% of their matches — today it did not.

Helsingborg's trading profile (60 games, 30 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 48% of their matches — today it did not; they keep a clean sheet 30% of the time, and conceded here; they fail to score in 32% of games, a blank that repeated today.

Form vs Result

The form lines were close — GIF Sundsvall 1.15 PPG, Helsingborg 1.33 PPG — offering no strong steer, and the GIF Sundsvall win broke the near-deadlock. GIF Sundsvall (home/away splits) conceded 0 against a 1.40 average — tighter than their form line. Helsingborg (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.23 scoring average — below par going forward.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 1 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (miss), BTTS (miss). A poor return for the projections: the match defied the majority of what the numbers expected.

💡 Key Insights