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Superettan · Regular Season - 29

Kick-off

Sat 1 Nov 2025

12:00

Venue

Falcon Alkoholfri Arena

Competition

Superettan

Sweden

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Falkenbergs FF Win

52%

Falkenbergs FF

1.91

23%

Draw

4.31

24%

Vasteras SK FK

4.10

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

9.9%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.6%

Home win

1 – 0

7.8%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.95

Falkenbergs FF xG

Total xG

3.22

1.28

Vasteras SK FK xG

52%
23%
24%
Falkenbergs FFDrawVasteras SK FK

1.91

52%

Home win

4.31

23%

Draw

4.10

24%

Away win

Goals Markets

83%

Over 1.5

1.20

17%

Under 1.5

5.88

62%

Over 2.5

1.61

38%

Under 2.5

2.63

40%

Over 3.5

2.50

60%

Under 3.5

1.67

22%

Over 4.5

4.55

78%

Under 4.5

1.28

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

62%

BTTS Yes

1.60

38%

BTTS No

2.66

Clean Sheet

28%

Falkenbergs FF

3.58

14%

Vasteras SK FK

6.99

Win to Nil

15%

Falkenbergs FF

6.84

3%

Vasteras SK FK

28.69

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.0 5.1 3.2 1.4 0.4 0.1
1 7.8 9.9 6.3 2.7 0.9 0.2
2 7.5 9.6 6.1 2.6 0.8 0.2
3 4.9 6.2 4.0 1.7 0.5 0.1
4 2.4 3.0 1.9 0.8 0.3 0.1
5 0.9 1.2 0.8 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.945
λ Away (xG) 1.276
Total xG 3.221
League avg home goals 1.565
League avg away goals 1.189
Falkenbergs FF attack strength 1.338
Falkenbergs FF defence strength 0.765
Vasteras SK FK attack strength 1.403
Vasteras SK FK defence strength 0.929
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 28 / 28