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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Falkenbergs FF cruise to a comfortable 2-0 victory over Umeå FC.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Falkenbergs FF beat Umeå FC 2-0 at Falcon Alkoholfri Arena, Regular Season - 14, in the Superettan. With the result on the board, the sections below measure it against everything the model and the numbers projected in advance.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Falkenbergs FF 2.63 xG and Umeå FC 0.97 xG, a combined 3.60. The scoreboard read 2-0 for 2 actual goals. Umeå FC landed 1.0 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Falkenbergs FF attack 1.13 / defence 1.01 against Umeå FC attack 0.72 / defence 1.58, drawn from 13/13 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Falkenbergs FF 73% | Draw 16% | Umeå FC 12%, with Falkenbergs FF to win its most likely call at 73%. That is exactly how it finished — the model's leading outcome was vindicated.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 70%. The game delivered 2, so it stayed under — the opposite of the projected direction. Over 1.5 had been 87% and landed. Over 3.5 was 49% and did not. On both teams to score, the model sat at 58% and the match did not — a miss on BTTS.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 1 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (miss), BTTS (miss). The data was on the wrong side of this result more often than not — a reminder that a single match sits well inside the model's variance.

💡 Key Insights