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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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IFK Goteborg cruise to a comfortable 0-2 victory over Osters IF.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

IFK Goteborg beat Osters IF 0-2 at Visma Arena, Regular Season - 25, in the Allsvenskan. That is the final score; the rest of this report grades it against what the data forecast beforehand.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Osters IF 1.11 xG and IFK Goteborg 1.66 xG, a combined 2.78. The scoreboard read 0-2 for 2 actual goals. Osters IF fell 1.1 short of their projected output. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Osters IF attack 0.85 / defence 1.23 against IFK Goteborg attack 1.00 / defence 0.90, drawn from 24/54 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Osters IF 26% | Draw 24% | IFK Goteborg 50%, with IFK Goteborg to win its most likely call at 50%. The scoreboard confirmed the model's leading pick.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 52%. The game delivered 2, so it stayed under — a miss for the goals model. Over 1.5 had been 76% and landed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 54% and the match did not — a miss on BTTS. Historically the two sides average 43% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Osters IF 41%, IFK Goteborg 44%), a base rate that agreed with today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 50%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

Osters IF's trading profile (54 games, 26 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 50% of their matches — today it did not; they fail to score in 32% of games, a blank that repeated today.

IFK Goteborg's trading profile (54 games, 26 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 50% of their matches — today it did not.

Form vs Result

The form lines were close — Osters IF 1.41 PPG, IFK Goteborg 1.33 PPG — offering no strong steer, and the IFK Goteborg win broke the near-deadlock. Osters IF (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.77 scoring average — below par going forward. IFK Goteborg (home/away splits) conceded 0 against a 1.50 average — tighter than their form line.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 1 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (miss), BTTS (miss). A poor return for the projections: the match defied the majority of what the numbers expected.

💡 Key Insights