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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Djurgardens IF cruise to a comfortable 1-3 victory over Osters IF.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Djurgardens IF beat Osters IF 1-3 at Visma Arena, Regular Season - 30, in the Allsvenskan. The remainder of the report sets that outcome against the pre-match model, the markets and the teams' data profiles.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Osters IF 1.13 xG and Djurgardens IF 1.76 xG, a combined 2.88. The scoreboard read 1-3 for 4 actual goals. Djurgardens IF outscored their 1.76 projection by 1.2. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Osters IF attack 0.86 / defence 1.16 against Djurgardens IF attack 1.07 / defence 0.90, drawn from 29/59 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Osters IF 23% | Draw 27% | Djurgardens IF 50%, with Djurgardens IF to win its most likely call at 50%. The result followed the model's preferred path, landing its top-rated outcome.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 55%. The game delivered 4, so it went over — in line with the projection. Over 1.5 had been 80% and landed. Over 3.5 was 33% and came in. On both teams to score, the model sat at 58% and the match saw both sides score — another call in the model's favour. Historically the two sides average 42% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Osters IF 42%, Djurgardens IF 41%), a base rate that pointed the other way from today's over. Their combined BTTS history runs at 49%, which did not match the both-scored outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

Osters IF's trading profile (59 games, 29 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 51% of their matches — today it did.

Djurgardens IF's trading profile (59 games, 29 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 48% of their matches — today it did; they keep a clean sheet 30% of the time, and conceded here.

Form vs Result

The form lines were close — Osters IF 1.36 PPG, Djurgardens IF 1.68 PPG — offering no strong steer, and the Djurgardens IF win broke the near-deadlock. Osters IF (home/away splits) shipped 3 against a 1.28 concession average — a leakier day than usual. Djurgardens IF (home/away splits) scored 3 against a 1.48 average — above their attacking norm.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 3 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (hit). A strong night for the model: the result sat comfortably inside what the pre-match data projected.

💡 Key Insights