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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Osters IF cruise to a comfortable 2-0 victory over BK Hacken.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Osters IF beat BK Hacken 2-0 at Visma Arena, Regular Season - 2, in the Allsvenskan. With the result on the board, the sections below measure it against everything the model and the numbers projected in advance.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Osters IF 1.20 xG and BK Hacken 1.54 xG, a combined 2.74. The scoreboard read 2-0 for 2 actual goals. Osters IF beat their projection by 0.8 — clinical relative to the chances the model priced in. BK Hacken landed 1.5 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Osters IF attack 0.86 / defence 1.15 against BK Hacken attack 1.01 / defence 1.02, drawn from 1/31 games (Blended).

On the result, the model split it Osters IF 30% | Draw 25% | BK Hacken 45%, with BK Hacken to win its most likely call at 45%. The actual Osters IF win had been the model's second-ranked read at 30%, so the result diverged from the top call without being a shock.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 52%. The game delivered 2, so it stayed under — the opposite of the projected direction. Over 1.5 had been 76% and landed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 55% and the match did not — a miss on BTTS. Historically the two sides average 72% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Osters IF 70%, BK Hacken 73%), a base rate that pointed the other way from today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 63%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

Osters IF's trading profile (30 games, 15 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 67% of their matches — today it did not.

BK Hacken's trading profile (30 games, 15 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 60% of their matches — today it did not.

Form vs Result

On form, Osters IF arrived the stronger side — 1.80 PPG against 1.40. That form edge translated into the three points. Osters IF (home/away splits) conceded 0 against a 0.87 average — tighter than their form line. BK Hacken (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.53 scoring average — below par going forward.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 1 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (miss), Over 2.5 (miss), BTTS (miss), form (hit). The data was on the wrong side of this result more often than not — a reminder that a single match sits well inside the model's variance.

💡 Key Insights