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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Allsvenskan · Regular Season - 25

Kick-off

Sun 28 Sep 2025

15:30

Venue

Eleda Stadion

Competition

Allsvenskan

Sweden

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Malmo FF Win

54%

Malmo FF

1.86

24%

Draw

4.15

22%

IFK Varnamo

4.53

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

11.5%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

11.5%

Draw

2 – 0

9.8%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.69

Malmo FF xG

Total xG

2.69

0.99

IFK Varnamo xG

54%
24%
22%
Malmo FFDrawIFK Varnamo

1.86

54%

Home win

4.15

24%

Draw

4.53

22%

Away win

Goals Markets

75%

Over 1.5

1.33

25%

Under 1.5

4.00

50%

Over 2.5

2.00

50%

Under 2.5

2.00

28%

Over 3.5

3.57

72%

Under 3.5

1.39

13%

Over 4.5

7.69

87%

Under 4.5

1.15

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

51%

BTTS Yes

1.95

49%

BTTS No

2.06

Clean Sheet

37%

Malmo FF

2.70

18%

IFK Varnamo

5.44

Win to Nil

20%

Malmo FF

5.01

4%

IFK Varnamo

24.63

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.8 6.8 3.4 1.1 0.3 0.1
1 11.5 11.5 5.7 1.9 0.5 0.1
2 9.8 9.7 4.8 1.6 0.4 0.1
3 5.5 5.5 2.7 0.9 0.2
4 2.3 2.3 1.1 0.4 0.1
5 0.8 0.8 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.693
λ Away (xG) 0.992
Total xG 2.685
League avg home goals 1.389
League avg away goals 1.330
Malmo FF attack strength 0.910
Malmo FF defence strength 0.822
IFK Varnamo attack strength 0.908
IFK Varnamo defence strength 1.339
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 54 / 54