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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Hammarby FF cruise to a comfortable 0-2 victory over IFK Norrkoping.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Hammarby FF beat IFK Norrkoping 0-2 at Platinumcars Arena, Regular Season - 19, in the Allsvenskan. That is the final score; the rest of this report grades it against what the data forecast beforehand.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting IFK Norrkoping 1.28 xG and Hammarby FF 1.84 xG, a combined 3.12. The scoreboard read 0-2 for 2 actual goals. IFK Norrkoping fell 1.3 short of their projected output. Those figures were built on strength ratings of IFK Norrkoping attack 0.97 / defence 1.16 against Hammarby FF attack 1.23 / defence 0.94, drawn from 48/48 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it IFK Norrkoping 26% | Draw 24% | Hammarby FF 50%, with Hammarby FF to win its most likely call at 50%. The scoreboard confirmed the model's leading pick.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 60%. The game delivered 2, so it stayed under — a miss for the goals model. Over 1.5 had been 82% and landed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 61% and the match did not — a miss on BTTS. Historically the two sides average 56% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (IFK Norrkoping 60%, Hammarby FF 52%), a base rate that pointed the other way from today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 53%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

IFK Norrkoping's trading profile (48 games, 23 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 67% of their matches — today it did not.

Hammarby FF's trading profile (48 games, 23 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 40% of their matches — today it did not; they keep a clean sheet 50% of the time, and duly kept one.

Form vs Result

On form, Hammarby FF arrived the stronger side — 1.94 PPG against 1.10. The form guide was vindicated by the result. IFK Norrkoping (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.39 scoring average — below par going forward. Hammarby FF (home/away splits) conceded 0 against a 0.96 average — tighter than their form line.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 2 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (miss), BTTS (miss), form (hit). A mixed scorecard — the data caught the broad shape of the game but not every market.

💡 Key Insights