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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Dominant Djurgardens IF run riot with a 0-4 hammering of IFK Norrkoping.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Djurgardens IF beat IFK Norrkoping 0-4 at Platinumcars Arena, Regular Season - 22, in the Allsvenskan. That is the final score; the rest of this report grades it against what the data forecast beforehand.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting IFK Norrkoping 1.05 xG and Djurgardens IF 1.45 xG, a combined 2.50. The scoreboard read 0-4 for 4 actual goals. IFK Norrkoping fell 1.1 short of their projected output. Djurgardens IF outscored their 1.45 projection by 2.6. Those figures were built on strength ratings of IFK Norrkoping attack 0.97 / defence 1.13 against Djurgardens IF attack 0.95 / defence 0.82, drawn from 51/51 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it IFK Norrkoping 27% | Draw 27% | Djurgardens IF 46%, with Djurgardens IF to win its most likely call at 46%. The scoreboard confirmed the model's leading pick.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 46%. The game delivered 4, so it went over — a miss for the goals model. Over 1.5 had been 72% and landed. Over 3.5 was 24% and came in. On both teams to score, the model sat at 50% and the match did not — a miss on BTTS. Historically the two sides average 49% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (IFK Norrkoping 61%, Djurgardens IF 37%), a base rate that pointed the other way from today's over. Their combined BTTS history runs at 56%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

IFK Norrkoping's trading profile (51 games, 25 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 67% of their matches — today it did not.

Djurgardens IF's trading profile (51 games, 25 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 45% of their matches — today it did not.

Form vs Result

On form, Djurgardens IF arrived the stronger side — 1.65 PPG against 1.16. The form guide was vindicated by the result. IFK Norrkoping (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.36 scoring average — below par going forward and shipped 4 against a 1.64 concession average — a leakier day than usual. Djurgardens IF (home/away splits) scored 4 against a 1.40 average — above their attacking norm and conceded 0 against a 1.24 average — tighter than their form line.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 2 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (miss), BTTS (miss), form (hit). A mixed scorecard — the data caught the broad shape of the game but not every market.

💡 Key Insights