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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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BK Hacken cruise to a comfortable 0-2 victory over IFK Norrkoping.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

BK Hacken beat IFK Norrkoping 0-2 at Platinumcars Arena, Regular Season - 7, in the Allsvenskan. The remainder of the report sets that outcome against the pre-match model, the markets and the teams' data profiles.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting IFK Norrkoping 2.18 xG and BK Hacken 1.77 xG, a combined 3.95. The scoreboard read 0-2 for 2 actual goals. IFK Norrkoping fell 2.2 short of their projected output. Those figures were built on strength ratings of IFK Norrkoping attack 1.30 / defence 1.30 against BK Hacken attack 1.09 / defence 1.14, drawn from 36/36 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it IFK Norrkoping 48% | Draw 21% | BK Hacken 32%, with IFK Norrkoping to win its most likely call at 48%. The actual BK Hacken win had been the model's second-ranked read at 32%, so the result diverged from the top call without being a shock.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 75%. The game delivered 2, so it stayed under — against the model's lean. Over 1.5 had been 91% and landed. Over 3.5 was 56% and did not. On both teams to score, the model sat at 74% and the match did not — a miss on BTTS. Historically the two sides average 67% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (IFK Norrkoping 62%, BK Hacken 72%), a base rate that pointed the other way from today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 63%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

IFK Norrkoping's trading profile (60 games, 30 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 63% of their matches — today it did not.

BK Hacken's trading profile (60 games, 30 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 63% of their matches — today it did not.

Form vs Result

The form lines were close — IFK Norrkoping 1.25 PPG, BK Hacken 1.65 PPG — offering no strong steer, and the BK Hacken win broke the near-deadlock. IFK Norrkoping (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.33 scoring average — below par going forward. BK Hacken (home/away splits) conceded 0 against a 1.57 average — tighter than their form line.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 0 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (miss), Over 2.5 (miss), BTTS (miss). This one broke away from the data — most of the pre-match signals were overturned by how the ninety minutes actually played out.

💡 Key Insights