IF Brommapojkarna vs Mjallby AIF – Pre-Match Analysis
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Poisson model rates IF Brommapojkarna at 48%, yet other data sources diverge — this IF Brommapojkarna vs Mjallby AIF fixture contains genuine analytical tension.
✍️ Match Preview
Fixture Analysis
It is a Allsvenskan clash, Regular Season - 28 as IF Brommapojkarna welcome Mjallby AIF to Grimsta IP. Kick-off is set for Sunday 8 November 2026 at 14:00 UTC.
Recent Form
Across all Allsvenskan games this season, IF Brommapojkarna have gone 2W 4D 4L from 10 outings — a 1.00 PPG return. Last five: L D W W L. They are averaging 1.40 goals per game and conceding 1.70 — a modest attacking output that tempers optimism on the Over 2.5 market. 1 clean sheet from 10 outings provides some defensive foundation. Both teams have scored in 80% of their matches — an extremely high rate that makes BTTS Yes a well-supported standalone angle from their form alone. This season is still relatively young for IF Brommapojkarna, so this record blends games from this season and last.
IF Brommapojkarna at Grimsta IP this season: 3W 3D 4L from 10 home games — 1.20 PPG on home soil. At home they are averaging 1.40 goals scored and 1.40 conceded per game. Both teams have scored in 80% of their home games — an outstanding BTTS rate that is a key data point for this fixture.
Looking at all fixtures this season, Mjallby AIF stand at 1W 4D 5L from 10 Allsvenskan matches — 0.70 PPG. Last five: D L L W L. Their scoring rate of 1.20 per game is modest, conceding 1.90 — not a side to back heavily on the Over 2.5 from their form alone. 1 clean sheet from 10 outings suggests some defensive organisation. Both teams have scored in 60% of their games — a noteworthy BTTS rate that supports the Yes market. This season is still relatively young for Mjallby AIF, so this record blends games from this season and last.
Mjallby AIF's form when playing away from home: 3W 4D 3L across 10 road games this term (1.30 PPG). They are averaging 1.90 goals per away game — strong road scoring that makes them a threat even without home support. BTTS has landed in 60% of their away games — meaningful support for the Yes angle in this specific context. Their away PPG of 1.30 exceeds their overall 0.70 — they actually perform better on the road than their aggregate form implies.
The form figures are too closely matched to derive a directional pick: IF Brommapojkarna 1.00 PPG, Mjallby AIF 0.70 PPG. Look to other data sets to build the analysis.
The BTTS market is worth targeting here. IF Brommapojkarna register both teams scoring in 80% of relevant matches, Mjallby AIF in 60% (using home/away splits) — both sides above the 60% threshold gives BTTS Yes firm statistical grounding.
Head to Head
The rivalry is an even one: 2 wins apiece for IF Brommapojkarna, 3 for Mjallby AIF and 2 shared spoils from 7 past contests. Neither side holds a meaningful historical edge.
The last 7 meetings have been tight affairs, averaging just 1.7 goals per game. That low-scoring pattern is a meaningful historical input for the Under 2.5 market. The most recent clash, on 18 Apr 2026, ended 0–3 with Mjallby AIF winning.
With a balanced win record and just 1.7 goals per game historically, the H2H points toward a tight, low-scoring contest. Under 2.5 goals has the strongest statistical grounding from the fixture history regardless of which side wins.
In-Play Data
IF Brommapojkarna trading profile (47 games, 23 at home): they score before half-time in 61% of fixtures in home games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 94% of the time; two or more arrive in the second half on 72% of those occasions; BTTS occurs in 61% of their matches (home games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 56% of games (home games).
Mjallby AIF trading profile (47 games, 23 at away): they score before half-time in 74% of fixtures in away games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 87% of the time; two or more arrive in the second half on 53% of those occasions; BTTS occurs in 56% of their matches (away games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 61% of games (away games).
BTTS rates are mixed from the trading data — IF Brommapojkarna 60% versus Mjallby AIF 51%; no strong lean in either direction. The over/under 2.5 picture is inconclusive from the in-play data (IF Brommapojkarna 60% | Mjallby AIF 47%).
Poisson Model
The Poisson distribution model projects IF Brommapojkarna 1.83 xG and Mjallby AIF 1.34 xG. These expected goals figures are the primary input: they feed a goal-probability matrix across all scoreline combinations to derive the result and market probabilities below. Underlying strength ratings: IF Brommapojkarna attack 0.965 / defence 0.961 | Mjallby AIF attack 1.065 / defence 1.189. League average goals — home 1.596 / away 1.310. Data: 49 IF Brommapojkarna games / 47 Mjallby AIF games used (CurrentSeason).
Result probabilities: IF Brommapojkarna 48% | Draw 25% | Mjallby AIF 27%. Fair-value odds: IF Brommapojkarna 2.08 | Draw 4.00 | Mjallby AIF 3.70. IF Brommapojkarna hold a narrow Poisson edge at 48% — the draw (25%) is close enough to merit draw-inclusive market consideration.
Goals markets: Over 2.5 probability 61% | BTTS probability 63% | Total xG 3.17. Over 2.5 holds a meaningful probability edge at 61% — the 3.17 total xG provides moderate support, though the model is not projecting a high-scoring game. BTTS Yes at 63% reflects that both xG figures (1.83 / 1.34) are above the threshold where scoring blanks become the primary outcome — both sides are projected to find the net.
Summary & Verdict
The Poisson model's primary lean is IF Brommapojkarna at 48% — moderate model lean. With a 25% draw probability, Draw No Bet on IF Brommapojkarna offers a more defensible entry point than the straight win.
On the goals line, Poisson's 3.17 combined xG gives a 61% probability to Over 2.5 — marginal — conflicting signals, supported by form averaging 3.2 goals per game — though H2H averaging only 1.7 goals per meeting points in the other direction.
Poisson assigns a 63% probability to BTTS Yes based on the attack/defence strength model. Form rates corroborate: IF Brommapojkarna 80% | Mjallby AIF 60% BTTS from recent games.
🔮 Your Prediction
Sign in to submit your prediction and see how it compares to the rest of the community.
💡 Key Insights
🏟️ Match Context
• Fixture: IF Brommapojkarna vs Mjallby AIF | Competition: Allsvenskan, Regular Season - 28 | Venue: Grimsta IP • Kick-off: Sunday 8 Nov 2026, 14:00 UTC • Data inputs: H2H history, form splits, prediction model signals, and market pricing
📊 Statistical Prediction
• Poisson result probabilities: IF Brommapojkarna 48% | Draw 25% | Mjallby AIF 27% • Poisson goal markets: Over 2.5 61% | BTTS 63% | xG IF Brommapojkarna 1.83 / Mjallby AIF 1.34 • Poisson strength factors: IF Brommapojkarna attack 0.965 / def 0.961 | Mjallby AIF attack 1.065 / def 1.189 | league avg home 1.596 / away 1.310 • Poisson stance: IF Brommapojkarna (48%) — moderate lean
🧮 Prediction Model
1.83
IF Brommapojkarna xG
Expected Goals
1.34
Mjallby AIF xG
63%
BTTS
83%
Over 1.5
61%
Over 2.5
39%
Over 3.5
Full score-by-score matrix & model internals in the "Full Poisson Detail" section below ↓
⚠️ This analysis is generated algorithmically from statistical data and is intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What time does IF Brommapojkarna vs Mjallby AIF kick off?
IF Brommapojkarna vs Mjallby AIF is scheduled to kick off at 14:00 on Sunday 8 November 2026 at Grimsta IP.
Where is IF Brommapojkarna vs Mjallby AIF being played?
The match is being played at Grimsta IP.
What competition is IF Brommapojkarna vs Mjallby AIF part of?
IF Brommapojkarna vs Mjallby AIF is a Regular Season - 28 fixture in the Allsvenskan (Sweden).
Who is favourite to win IF Brommapojkarna vs Mjallby AIF?
Our statistical model gives IF Brommapojkarna a 48% chance of winning, Mjallby AIF a 27% chance, and a 25% chance of a draw — making IF Brommapojkarna the favourite.
Will both teams score in IF Brommapojkarna vs Mjallby AIF?
Our model estimates a 63% probability that both IF Brommapojkarna and Mjallby AIF will score (BTTS).
Will IF Brommapojkarna vs Mjallby AIF have over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts the probability of over 2.5 goals in this match at 61%.
What is the head-to-head record between IF Brommapojkarna and Mjallby AIF?
Record (7 meetings): IF Brommapojkarna 2W | Draws 2 | Mjallby AIF 3W.
What form are IF Brommapojkarna and Mjallby AIF in?
IF Brommapojkarna (all comps): 2W-4D-4L in 10 | 1.00 PPG | GF 1.40 / GA 1.70 | L5 L-D-W-W-L. Mjallby AIF (all comps): 1W-4D-5L in 10 | 0.70 PPG | GF 1.20 / GA 1.90 | L5 D-L-L-W-L.
🧮 Model Insight
Model Mechanics
IF Brommapojkarna's attacking strength (0.96x league average) is weighed against Mjallby AIF's defensive record (1.19x) to produce a home expected-goals figure of 1.83. The same calculation in reverse, Mjallby AIF's attack versus IF Brommapojkarna's defence, projects 1.34 expected goals for the visitors.
These ratings are built from 49/47 games of current-season data — a full enough sample to trust.
Most Likely Scorelines
The model's single most probable exact score is 1-1, at 11.6%. Close behind: 2-1 (9.4%), 2-0 (7.0%). Together the top three scorelines make up 28% of the probability — a moderately spread distribution, typical of a competitive match-up.
Most Likely Outcome
IF Brommapojkarna Win
48%
2.08
25%
4.07
27%
3.66
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
10.3%
Draw
Most likely
2 – 1
9.4%
Home win
1 – 0
7.7%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.83
IF Brommapojkarna xG
Total xG
3.17
1.34
Mjallby AIF xG
2.08
48%
Home win
4.07
25%
Draw
3.66
27%
Away win
Goals Markets
82%
Over 1.5
1.22
18%
Under 1.5
5.56
61%
Over 2.5
1.64
39%
Under 2.5
2.56
39%
Over 3.5
2.56
61%
Under 3.5
1.64
21%
Over 4.5
4.76
79%
Under 4.5
1.27
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
63%
BTTS Yes
1.59
37%
BTTS No
2.69
Clean Sheet
26%
3.82
16%
6.23
Win to Nil
13%
7.93
4%
22.83
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4.2 | 5.6 | 3.8 | 1.7 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| 1 | 7.7 | 10.3 | 6.9 | 3.1 | 1.0 | 0.3 |
| 2 | 7.0 | 9.4 | 6.3 | 2.8 | 0.9 | 0.3 |
| 3 | 4.3 | 5.7 | 3.9 | 1.7 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| 4 | 2.0 | 2.6 | 1.8 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 5 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · Outlined cell = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the most likely scoreline for IF Brommapojkarna vs Mjallby AIF?
Our Poisson model rates 1-1 as the single most likely exact scoreline, at 11.6%.
How many goals are IF Brommapojkarna and Mjallby AIF expected to score?
The model projects 1.83 expected goals for IF Brommapojkarna and 1.34 for Mjallby AIF, a combined total of 3.17.
How confident is the prediction model for IF Brommapojkarna vs Mjallby AIF?
Not very — the model's leading outcome sits at just 48%, meaning this is rated as a genuinely open contest with no dominant favourite.
📈 Form Insight
Where Both Sides Stand
Across their last 47 outings, IF Brommapojkarna have picked up 1.17 PPG on a 15W 10D 22L record — L-D-W-W-L across the most recent five. The sample for IF Brommapojkarna is still a mix of this season and last, given how young the current campaign is.
Mjallby AIF's form line: 28W 11D 8L from 47 games, 2.02 PPG, last five D-L-L-W-L. The sample for Mjallby AIF is still a mix of this season and last, given how young the current campaign is.
Put side by side, Mjallby AIF are the form team by 0.85 points per game — a gap wide enough to matter, though form alone rarely tells the whole story against IF Brommapojkarna.
Home Ground vs the Road
On home soil, IF Brommapojkarna have posted 1.04 PPG from 23 outings (7W 3D 13L).
On the road, Mjallby AIF have gone 14W 5D 4L from 23 away games — 2.04 PPG when travelling.
Comparing the two in their relevant venue splits, Mjallby AIF come out ahead — a more targeted read than the overall PPG figures above, since it strips out games played in the opposite context.
The Goals Picture
IF Brommapojkarna are averaging 1.43 goals scored and 1.57 conceded per game recently; Mjallby AIF are on 1.72 scored and 0.96 conceded.
Defensively: Mjallby AIF in 38% — worth knowing if you're weighing up clean-sheet or BTTS-No markets.
Last 47 Results — Allsvenskan
Current season: same league only · Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams)
IF Brommapojkarna
Blended
Mjallby AIF
Blended
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What form are IF Brommapojkarna and Mjallby AIF in coming into this match?
IF Brommapojkarna have gone 15W 10D 22L in their last 47 games (1.17 PPG), while Mjallby AIF have gone 28W 11D 8L in their last 47 (2.02 PPG).
Which team has the better venue record — IF Brommapojkarna at home or Mjallby AIF away?
Mjallby AIF's away record (2.04 PPG) is the stronger of the two venue-specific splits — IF Brommapojkarna at home: 1.04 PPG; Mjallby AIF away: 2.04 PPG.
Have IF Brommapojkarna or Mjallby AIF been keeping clean sheets recently?
IF Brommapojkarna have kept a clean sheet in 19% of their recent games, Mjallby AIF in 38%.
⚔️ Rivalry Insight
A Look Back
The fixture history between IF Brommapojkarna and Mjallby AIF runs to 7 recorded meetings, the earliest dating back to April 2023. Every recorded meeting has come in Allsvenskan. They last met on 18 April 2026, roughly 4 months ago.
Digging Into the Numbers
There's a clear current trend here: Mjallby AIF have taken the last 3 head-to-head results.
The biggest gap between the sides came on 18 Apr 2026, when Mjallby AIF won 3-0 — the largest margin of victory on record between these two.
IF Brommapojkarna's record when hosting Mjallby AIF specifically: 1W 1D 1L from 3 games — a narrower, venue-specific slice of the head-to-head picture.
Last 7 Meetings
2
IF Brommapojkarna
2
Draws
3
Mjallby AIF
Recent Meetings
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the head-to-head record between IF Brommapojkarna and Mjallby AIF?
From 7 meetings on record, IF Brommapojkarna have won 2, Mjallby AIF have won 3, and 2 have been drawn.
When did IF Brommapojkarna and Mjallby AIF last play each other?
They last met on 18 April 2026, when Mjallby AIF 3-0 IF Brommapojkarna.
Who has won more matches between IF Brommapojkarna and Mjallby AIF?
Mjallby AIF have the better head-to-head record, with 3 wins from 7 meetings.
📈 Trading Insight
Half-Time Trends
IF Brommapojkarna are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 61% of their matches.
Mjallby AIF are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 74% of their matches. They've gone in front at half-time 35% of the time.
The Numbers That Matter
BTTS sits in mixed territory for this pairing — IF Brommapojkarna 61%, Mjallby AIF 56% — no strong lean either way from the trading data alone.
Over 2.5 has been close to a coin-flip for both sides — 56% (IF Brommapojkarna) and 61% (Mjallby AIF). Stepping up a level, Over 3.5 has also landed reasonably often — 39% and 35% respectively — worth a look for goal-hungry markets.
On the defensive side: Mjallby AIF in 35%.
Current season: same league only. Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams). All = any venue | Venue = IF Brommapojkarna home games / Mjallby AIF away games. HT metrics require half-time score data — shown as — where unavailable.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
Do both teams usually score when IF Brommapojkarna play Mjallby AIF?
Yes — based on recent matches, both teams have scored in 61% of IF Brommapojkarna's games and 56% of Mjallby AIF's, a combined rate that favours BTTS Yes.
Is IF Brommapojkarna vs Mjallby AIF usually a high-scoring fixture?
Recent trends suggest it could be — Over 2.5 goals has landed in 56% of IF Brommapojkarna's matches and 61% of Mjallby AIF's.
Do IF Brommapojkarna and Mjallby AIF tend to score early?
IF Brommapojkarna have had a goal before half-time in 61% of their recent matches, Mjallby AIF in 74% — a useful reference point for first-half goal markets.
The match report will be available once the game has finished.