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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Hammarby FF cruise to a comfortable 0-2 victory over IF Brommapojkarna.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Hammarby FF beat IF Brommapojkarna 0-2 at Grimsta IP, Regular Season - 2, in the Allsvenskan. With the result on the board, the sections below measure it against everything the model and the numbers projected in advance.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting IF Brommapojkarna 1.25 xG and Hammarby FF 1.30 xG, a combined 2.55. The scoreboard read 0-2 for 2 actual goals. IF Brommapojkarna fell 1.2 short of their projected output. Those figures were built on strength ratings of IF Brommapojkarna attack 0.99 / defence 1.04 against Hammarby FF attack 1.00 / defence 0.90, drawn from 31/31 games (Blended).

On the result, the model split it IF Brommapojkarna 35% | Draw 27% | Hammarby FF 38%, with Hammarby FF to win its most likely call at 38%. That is exactly how it finished — the model's leading outcome was vindicated.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 47%. The game delivered 2, so it stayed under — a call the model got right. Over 1.5 had been 72% and landed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 52% and the match did not — a miss on BTTS. Historically the two sides average 58% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (IF Brommapojkarna 63%, Hammarby FF 53%), a base rate that pointed the other way from today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 52%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

IF Brommapojkarna's trading profile (60 games, 30 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 60% of their matches — today it did not.

Hammarby FF's trading profile (60 games, 30 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 45% of their matches — today it did not; they keep a clean sheet 38% of the time, and duly kept one.

Form vs Result

On form, Hammarby FF arrived the stronger side — 1.63 PPG against 1.18. That form edge translated into the three points. IF Brommapojkarna (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.23 scoring average — below par going forward. Hammarby FF (home/away splits) scored 2 against a 1.07 average — above their attacking norm and conceded 0 against a 1.03 average — tighter than their form line.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 3 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (miss), form (hit). The model got the gist right while missing on the margins.

💡 Key Insights