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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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BK Hacken cruise to a comfortable 1-3 victory over IF Brommapojkarna.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

BK Hacken beat IF Brommapojkarna 1-3 at Grimsta IP, Regular Season - 26, in the Allsvenskan. That is the final score; the rest of this report grades it against what the data forecast beforehand.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting IF Brommapojkarna 1.72 xG and BK Hacken 1.54 xG, a combined 3.26. The scoreboard read 1-3 for 4 actual goals. BK Hacken outscored their 1.54 projection by 1.5. Those figures were built on strength ratings of IF Brommapojkarna attack 1.13 / defence 1.21 against BK Hacken attack 0.94 / defence 1.04, drawn from 55/55 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it IF Brommapojkarna 42% | Draw 23% | BK Hacken 35%, with IF Brommapojkarna to win its most likely call at 42%. The actual BK Hacken win had been the model's second-ranked read at 35%, so the result diverged from the top call without being a shock.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 63%. The game delivered 4, so it went over — the model's lean was correct. Over 1.5 had been 84% and landed. Over 3.5 was 41% and came in. On both teams to score, the model sat at 64% and the match saw both sides score — another call in the model's favour. Historically the two sides average 60% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (IF Brommapojkarna 56%, BK Hacken 64%), a base rate that agreed with today's over. Their combined BTTS history runs at 55%, which matched the both-scored outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

IF Brommapojkarna's trading profile (55 games, 27 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 56% of their matches — today it did.

BK Hacken's trading profile (55 games, 27 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 54% of their matches — today it did.

Form vs Result

The form lines were close — IF Brommapojkarna 1.15 PPG, BK Hacken 1.29 PPG — offering no strong steer, and the BK Hacken win broke the near-deadlock. IF Brommapojkarna (home/away splits) shipped 3 against a 1.81 concession average — a leakier day than usual. BK Hacken (home/away splits) scored 3 against a 1.37 average — above their attacking norm.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 2 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (miss), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (hit). A mixed scorecard — the data caught the broad shape of the game but not every market.

💡 Key Insights