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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Hammarby FF cruise to a comfortable 2-0 victory over Halmstad.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Hammarby FF beat Halmstad 2-0 at 3Arena, Regular Season - 13, in the Allsvenskan. That is the final score; the rest of this report grades it against what the data forecast beforehand.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Hammarby FF 1.80 xG and Halmstad 0.71 xG, a combined 2.51. The scoreboard read 2-0 for 2 actual goals. Both sides finished within a goal of their individual projections, so the scoreline sat close to the model's expected shape. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Hammarby FF attack 1.18 / defence 0.76 against Halmstad attack 0.70 / defence 1.15, drawn from 43/42 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Hammarby FF 64% | Draw 22% | Halmstad 14%, with Hammarby FF to win its most likely call at 64%. The scoreboard confirmed the model's leading pick.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 46%. The game delivered 2, so it stayed under — the model's lean was correct. Over 1.5 had been 71% and landed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 42% and the match did not — another call in the model's favour. Historically the two sides average 52% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Hammarby FF 53%, Halmstad 50%), a base rate that pointed the other way from today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 45%, which matched the one-sided outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

Hammarby FF's trading profile (60 games, 30 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 45% of their matches — today it did not; they keep a clean sheet 38% of the time, and duly kept one.

Halmstad's trading profile (60 games, 30 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 45% of their matches — today it did not; they fail to score in 37% of games, a blank that repeated today.

Form vs Result

On form, Hammarby FF arrived the stronger side — 1.63 PPG against 1.15. The form guide was vindicated by the result. Hammarby FF (home/away splits) conceded 0 against a 1.10 average — tighter than their form line. Halmstad (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 0.97 scoring average — below par going forward.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 4 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (hit), form (hit). The data earned its keep here, calling the bulk of the fixture correctly.

💡 Key Insights