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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Mjallby AIF cruise to a comfortable 1-3 victory over Halmstad.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Mjallby AIF beat Halmstad 1-3 at Örjans Vall, Regular Season - 5, in the Allsvenskan. That is the final score; the rest of this report grades it against what the data forecast beforehand.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Halmstad 0.92 xG and Mjallby AIF 1.82 xG, a combined 2.74. The scoreboard read 1-3 for 4 actual goals. Mjallby AIF outscored their 1.82 projection by 1.2. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Halmstad attack 0.78 / defence 1.22 against Mjallby AIF attack 1.28 / defence 0.89, drawn from 34/34 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Halmstad 19% | Draw 23% | Mjallby AIF 59%, with Mjallby AIF to win its most likely call at 59%. The scoreboard confirmed the model's leading pick.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 52%. The game delivered 4, so it went over — the model's lean was correct. Over 1.5 had been 76% and landed. Over 3.5 was 29% and came in. On both teams to score, the model sat at 50% and the match saw both sides score — another call in the model's favour. Historically the two sides average 49% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Halmstad 50%, Mjallby AIF 48%), a base rate that pointed the other way from today's over. Their combined BTTS history runs at 48%, which did not match the both-scored outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

Halmstad's trading profile (60 games, 30 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 45% of their matches — today it did.

Mjallby AIF's trading profile (60 games, 30 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 50% of their matches — today it did.

Form vs Result

The form lines were close — Halmstad 1.15 PPG, Mjallby AIF 1.52 PPG — offering no strong steer, and the Mjallby AIF win broke the near-deadlock. Halmstad (home/away splits) shipped 3 against a 1.03 concession average — a leakier day than usual. Mjallby AIF (home/away splits) scored 3 against a 1.10 average — above their attacking norm.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 3 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (hit). The data earned its keep here, calling the bulk of the fixture correctly.

💡 Key Insights