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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Gais cruise to a comfortable 1-3 victory over Halmstad.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Gais beat Halmstad 1-3 at Örjans Vall, Regular Season - 9, in the Allsvenskan. That is the final score; the rest of this report grades it against what the data forecast beforehand.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Halmstad 1.16 xG and Gais 1.26 xG, a combined 2.42. The scoreboard read 1-3 for 4 actual goals. Gais outscored their 1.26 projection by 1.7. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Halmstad attack 1.00 / defence 1.31 against Gais attack 0.73 / defence 0.86, drawn from 38/38 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Halmstad 34% | Draw 28% | Gais 38%, with Gais to win its most likely call at 38%. The scoreboard confirmed the model's leading pick.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 43%. The game delivered 4, so it went over — a miss for the goals model. Over 1.5 had been 70% and landed. Over 3.5 was 22% and came in. On both teams to score, the model sat at 49% and the match saw both sides score — a miss on BTTS. Historically the two sides average 52% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Halmstad 50%, Gais 55%), a base rate that agreed with today's over. Their combined BTTS history runs at 44%, which did not match the both-scored outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

Halmstad's trading profile (60 games, 30 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 45% of their matches — today it did.

Gais's trading profile (60 games, 30 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 43% of their matches — today it did; they keep a clean sheet 37% of the time, and conceded here.

Form vs Result

On form, Gais arrived the stronger side — 1.75 PPG against 1.15. The form guide was vindicated by the result. Halmstad (home/away splits) shipped 3 against a 1.03 concession average — a leakier day than usual. Gais (home/away splits) scored 3 against a 1.57 average — above their attacking norm.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 2 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (miss), BTTS (miss), form (hit). A mixed scorecard — the data caught the broad shape of the game but not every market.

💡 Key Insights