Most Likely Outcome
Djurgardens IF Win
60%
1.66
20%
4.95
19%
5.15
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
2 – 1
9.5%
Home win
Most likely
1 – 1
8.2%
Draw
2 – 0
7.5%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
2.31
Djurgardens IF xG
Total xG
3.57
1.26
Halmstad xG
Djurgardens IFDrawHalmstad
1.66
60%
Home win
4.95
20%
Draw
5.15
19%
Away win
Goals Markets
87%
Over 1.5
1.15
13%
Under 1.5
7.69
69%
Over 2.5
1.45
31%
Under 2.5
3.23
48%
Over 3.5
2.08
52%
Under 3.5
1.92
29%
Over 4.5
3.45
71%
Under 4.5
1.41
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
65%
BTTS Yes
1.54
35%
BTTS No
2.86
Clean Sheet
28%
3.54
10%
10.08
Win to Nil
17%
5.86
2%
51.96
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.8 | 3.5 | 2.2 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 6.5 | 8.2 | 5.2 | 2.2 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| 2 | 7.5 | 9.5 | 6.0 | 2.5 | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| 3 | 5.8 | 7.3 | 4.6 | 1.9 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| 4 | 3.3 | 4.2 | 2.7 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 5 | 1.5 | 1.9 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 0.2 | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
2.311
λ Away (xG)
1.263
Total xG
3.574
League avg home goals
1.692
League avg away goals
1.458
Djurgardens IF attack strength
1.154
Djurgardens IF defence strength
1.033
Halmstad attack strength
0.839
Halmstad defence strength
1.184
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
40 / 41