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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Dominant IF Brommapojkarna run riot with a 0-3 hammering of Degerfors IF.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

IF Brommapojkarna beat Degerfors IF 0-3 at Stora Valla, Regular Season - 13, in the Allsvenskan. The remainder of the report sets that outcome against the pre-match model, the markets and the teams' data profiles.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Degerfors IF 0.98 xG and IF Brommapojkarna 2.02 xG, a combined 2.99. The scoreboard read 0-3 for 3 actual goals. Degerfors IF fell 1.0 short of their projected output. IF Brommapojkarna outscored their 2.02 projection by 1.0. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Degerfors IF attack 0.72 / defence 1.34 against IF Brommapojkarna attack 1.14 / defence 1.01, drawn from 12/42 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Degerfors IF 18% | Draw 21% | IF Brommapojkarna 61%, with IF Brommapojkarna to win its most likely call at 61%. The result followed the model's preferred path, landing its top-rated outcome.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 58%. The game delivered 3, so it went over — in line with the projection. Over 1.5 had been 80% and landed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 54% and the match did not — a miss on BTTS. Historically the two sides average 63% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Degerfors IF 63%, IF Brommapojkarna 63%), a base rate that agreed with today's over. Their combined BTTS history runs at 63%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

Degerfors IF's trading profile (30 games, 15 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 60% of their matches — today it did not; they fail to score in 30% of games, a blank that repeated today.

IF Brommapojkarna's trading profile (30 games, 15 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 67% of their matches — today it did not.

Form vs Result

The form lines were close — Degerfors IF 0.87 PPG, IF Brommapojkarna 1.13 PPG — offering no strong steer, and the IF Brommapojkarna win broke the near-deadlock. Degerfors IF (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.20 scoring average — below par going forward and shipped 3 against a 1.60 concession average — a leakier day than usual. IF Brommapojkarna (home/away splits) scored 3 against a 1.73 average — above their attacking norm and conceded 0 against a 1.73 average — tighter than their form line.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 2 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (miss). Partial vindication: some calls landed, others slipped.

💡 Key Insights