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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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BK Hacken cruise to a comfortable 2-0 victory over IF Brommapojkarna.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

BK Hacken beat IF Brommapojkarna 2-0 at Bravida Arena, Regular Season - 1, in the Allsvenskan. The remainder of the report sets that outcome against the pre-match model, the markets and the teams' data profiles.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting BK Hacken 1.54 xG and IF Brommapojkarna 1.28 xG, a combined 2.82. The scoreboard read 2-0 for 2 actual goals. IF Brommapojkarna landed 1.3 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of BK Hacken attack 1.04 / defence 1.06 against IF Brommapojkarna attack 1.05 / defence 1.06, drawn from 30/30 games (PrevSeason).

On the result, the model split it BK Hacken 43% | Draw 25% | IF Brommapojkarna 32%, with BK Hacken to win its most likely call at 43%. The result followed the model's preferred path, landing its top-rated outcome.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 53%. The game delivered 2, so it stayed under — against the model's lean. Over 1.5 had been 77% and landed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 57% and the match did not — a miss on BTTS. Historically the two sides average 68% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (BK Hacken 72%, IF Brommapojkarna 63%), a base rate that pointed the other way from today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 62%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

BK Hacken's trading profile (60 games, 30 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 63% of their matches — today it did not.

IF Brommapojkarna's trading profile (60 games, 30 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 60% of their matches — today it did not.

Form vs Result

On form, BK Hacken arrived the stronger side — 1.65 PPG against 1.18. Form held, and they took the win. BK Hacken (home/away splits) conceded 0 against a 1.43 average — tighter than their form line. IF Brommapojkarna (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.80 scoring average — below par going forward.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 2 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (miss), BTTS (miss), form (hit). Partial vindication: some calls landed, others slipped.

💡 Key Insights