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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 36

Kick-off

Wed 13 May 2026

18:00

Venue

Estadio de la Ceramica

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Villarreal Win

74%

Villarreal

1.36

15%

Draw

6.65

11%

Sevilla

8.87

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 0

8.9%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 1

8.9%

Home win

3 – 0

8.1%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.73

Villarreal xG

Total xG

3.73

1.00

Sevilla xG

74%
15%
VillarrealDrawSevilla

1.36

74%

Home win

6.65

15%

Draw

8.87

11%

Away win

Goals Markets

89%

Over 1.5

1.12

11%

Under 1.5

9.09

72%

Over 2.5

1.39

28%

Under 2.5

3.57

51%

Over 3.5

1.96

49%

Under 3.5

2.04

32%

Over 4.5

3.12

68%

Under 4.5

1.47

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

59%

BTTS Yes

1.69

41%

BTTS No

2.45

Clean Sheet

37%

Villarreal

2.72

7%

Sevilla

15.36

Win to Nil

27%

Villarreal

3.70

1%

Sevilla

136.20

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.4 2.4 1.2 0.4 0.1
1 6.5 6.5 3.3 1.1 0.3 0.1
2 8.9 8.9 4.5 1.5 0.4 0.1
3 8.1 8.1 4.1 1.4 0.3 0.1
4 5.5 5.6 2.8 0.9 0.2
5 3.0 3.0 1.5 0.5 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.732
λ Away (xG) 1.002
Total xG 3.734
League avg home goals 1.515
League avg away goals 1.170
Villarreal attack strength 1.446
Villarreal defence strength 0.942
Sevilla attack strength 0.909
Sevilla defence strength 1.246
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 73 / 73