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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 38

Kick-off

Sun 25 May 2025

15:15

Venue

Estadio de la Cerámica

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Villarreal Win

55%

Villarreal

1.83

22%

Draw

4.47

23%

Sevilla

4.35

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.4%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.8%

Home win

1 – 0

9.0%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.89

Villarreal xG

Total xG

3.05

1.15

Sevilla xG

55%
22%
23%
VillarrealDrawSevilla

1.83

55%

Home win

4.47

22%

Draw

4.35

23%

Away win

Goals Markets

81%

Over 1.5

1.23

19%

Under 1.5

5.26

59%

Over 2.5

1.69

41%

Under 2.5

2.44

36%

Over 3.5

2.78

64%

Under 3.5

1.56

19%

Over 4.5

5.26

81%

Under 4.5

1.23

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

58%

BTTS Yes

1.72

42%

BTTS No

2.39

Clean Sheet

32%

Villarreal

3.17

15%

Sevilla

6.65

Win to Nil

17%

Villarreal

5.80

3%

Sevilla

28.93

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.8 5.5 3.2 1.2 0.3 0.1
1 9.0 10.4 6.0 2.3 0.7 0.2
2 8.5 9.8 5.7 2.2 0.6 0.1
3 5.4 6.2 3.6 1.4 0.4 0.1
4 2.5 2.9 1.7 0.7 0.2
5 1.0 1.1 0.6 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.894
λ Away (xG) 1.153
Total xG 3.047
League avg home goals 1.368
League avg away goals 1.178
Villarreal attack strength 1.324
Villarreal defence strength 0.982
Sevilla attack strength 0.996
Sevilla defence strength 1.046
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 75 / 75