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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Villarreal Win
41%
2.44
24%
4.21
35%
2.83
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
10.8%
Draw
Most likely
2 – 1
8.7%
Home win
1 – 2
8.0%
Away win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.62
Villarreal xG
Total xG
3.11
1.49
Real Madrid xG
VillarrealDrawReal Madrid
2.44
41%
Home win
4.21
24%
Draw
2.83
35%
Away win
Goals Markets
82%
Over 1.5
1.22
18%
Under 1.5
5.56
60%
Over 2.5
1.67
40%
Under 2.5
2.50
38%
Over 3.5
2.63
62%
Under 3.5
1.61
20%
Over 4.5
5.00
80%
Under 4.5
1.25
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
62%
BTTS Yes
1.61
38%
BTTS No
2.64
Clean Sheet
23%
4.43
20%
5.05
Win to Nil
9%
10.81
7%
14.30
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4.5 | 6.7 | 5.0 | 2.5 | 0.9 | 0.3 |
| 1 | 7.2 | 10.8 | 8.0 | 4.0 | 1.5 | 0.4 |
| 2 | 5.9 | 8.7 | 6.5 | 3.2 | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| 3 | 3.2 | 4.7 | 3.5 | 1.7 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| 4 | 1.3 | 1.9 | 1.4 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 5 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.619
λ Away (xG)
1.488
Total xG
3.107
League avg home goals
1.431
League avg away goals
1.121
Villarreal attack strength
1.296
Villarreal defence strength
1.087
Real Madrid attack strength
1.221
Real Madrid defence strength
0.873
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
64 / 65