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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 5

Kick-off

Sat 20 Sep 2025

17:30

Venue

Estadio de la Ceramica

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Villarreal Win

63%

Villarreal

1.58

22%

Draw

4.52

15%

Osasuna

6.78

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

13.7%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

12.6%

Home win

1 – 1

10.4%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.84

Villarreal xG

Total xG

2.60

0.76

Osasuna xG

63%
22%
15%
VillarrealDrawOsasuna

1.58

63%

Home win

4.52

22%

Draw

6.78

15%

Away win

Goals Markets

73%

Over 1.5

1.37

27%

Under 1.5

3.70

48%

Over 2.5

2.08

52%

Under 2.5

1.92

26%

Over 3.5

3.85

74%

Under 3.5

1.35

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

45%

BTTS Yes

2.24

55%

BTTS No

1.81

Clean Sheet

47%

Villarreal

2.13

16%

Osasuna

6.30

Win to Nil

30%

Villarreal

3.38

2%

Osasuna

42.70

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.4 5.6 2.1 0.5 0.1
1 13.7 10.4 3.9 1.0 0.2
2 12.6 9.5 3.6 0.9 0.2
3 7.7 5.9 2.2 0.6 0.1
4 3.6 2.7 1.0 0.3
5 1.3 1.0 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.841
λ Away (xG) 0.757
Total xG 2.598
League avg home goals 1.460
League avg away goals 1.144
Villarreal attack strength 1.408
Villarreal defence strength 0.842
Osasuna attack strength 0.786
Osasuna defence strength 0.896
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 42 / 42