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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 26

Kick-off

Sun 27 Apr 2025

15:15

Venue

Estadio de la Cerámica

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Villarreal Win

43%

Villarreal

2.31

25%

Draw

4.07

32%

Espanyol

3.10

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.5%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.0%

Home win

1 – 0

8.6%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.57

Villarreal xG

Total xG

2.90

1.33

Espanyol xG

43%
25%
32%
VillarrealDrawEspanyol

2.31

43%

Home win

4.07

25%

Draw

3.10

32%

Away win

Goals Markets

79%

Over 1.5

1.27

21%

Under 1.5

4.76

55%

Over 2.5

1.82

45%

Under 2.5

2.22

33%

Over 3.5

3.03

67%

Under 3.5

1.49

17%

Over 4.5

5.88

83%

Under 4.5

1.20

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

58%

BTTS Yes

1.72

42%

BTTS No

2.40

Clean Sheet

27%

Villarreal

3.77

21%

Espanyol

4.83

Win to Nil

11%

Villarreal

8.73

7%

Espanyol

14.99

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.5 7.3 4.8 2.1 0.7 0.2
1 8.6 11.5 7.6 3.4 1.1 0.3
2 6.8 9.0 6.0 2.7 0.9 0.2
3 3.6 4.7 3.1 1.4 0.5 0.1
4 1.4 1.9 1.2 0.5 0.2
5 0.4 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.575
λ Away (xG) 1.328
Total xG 2.903
League avg home goals 1.341
League avg away goals 1.204
Villarreal attack strength 1.187
Villarreal defence strength 1.062
Espanyol attack strength 1.039
Espanyol defence strength 0.989
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 70 / 32