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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Villarreal Win
57%
1.75
19%
5.14
23%
4.28
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
2 – 1
8.4%
Home win
Most likely
3 – 1
6.9%
Home win
1 – 1
6.8%
Draw
Expected Goals & Win Odds
2.47
Villarreal xG
Total xG
4.04
1.57
Barcelona xG
VillarrealDrawBarcelona
1.75
57%
Home win
5.14
19%
Draw
4.28
23%
Away win
Goals Markets
91%
Over 1.5
1.10
9%
Under 1.5
11.11
77%
Over 2.5
1.30
23%
Under 2.5
4.35
57%
Over 3.5
1.75
43%
Under 3.5
2.33
38%
Over 4.5
2.63
62%
Under 4.5
1.61
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
73%
BTTS Yes
1.37
27%
BTTS No
3.67
Clean Sheet
21%
4.80
8%
11.83
Win to Nil
12%
8.39
2%
50.64
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1.8 | 2.8 | 2.2 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 4.4 | 6.8 | 5.4 | 2.8 | 1.1 | 0.3 |
| 2 | 5.4 | 8.4 | 6.6 | 3.5 | 1.4 | 0.4 |
| 3 | 4.4 | 6.9 | 5.4 | 2.8 | 1.1 | 0.3 |
| 4 | 2.7 | 4.3 | 3.4 | 1.8 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| 5 | 1.4 | 2.1 | 1.7 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
2.471
λ Away (xG)
1.568
Total xG
4.039
League avg home goals
1.376
League avg away goals
1.072
Villarreal attack strength
1.422
Villarreal defence strength
0.831
Barcelona attack strength
1.759
Barcelona defence strength
1.263
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
53 / 55