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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 7

Kick-off

Sat 27 Sep 2025

20:00

Venue

Estadio de la Ceramica

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Villarreal Win

55%

Villarreal

1.81

26%

Draw

3.83

19%

Athletic Club

5.34

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

11.5%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

11.0%

Draw

2 – 0

10.2%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.78

Villarreal xG

Total xG

2.74

0.96

Athletic Club xG

55%
26%
19%
VillarrealDrawAthletic Club

1.81

55%

Home win

3.83

26%

Draw

5.34

19%

Away win

Goals Markets

76%

Over 1.5

1.32

24%

Under 1.5

4.17

52%

Over 2.5

1.92

48%

Under 2.5

2.08

29%

Over 3.5

3.45

71%

Under 3.5

1.41

14%

Over 4.5

7.14

86%

Under 4.5

1.16

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

53%

BTTS Yes

1.90

47%

BTTS No

2.11

Clean Sheet

38%

Villarreal

2.61

17%

Athletic Club

5.92

Win to Nil

21%

Villarreal

4.73

3%

Athletic Club

31.61

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.5 6.2 3.0 1.0 0.2
1 11.5 11.0 5.3 1.7 0.4 0.1
2 10.2 9.8 4.7 1.5 0.4 0.1
3 6.1 5.8 2.8 0.9 0.2
4 2.7 2.6 1.2 0.4 0.1
5 1.0 0.9 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.778
λ Away (xG) 0.959
Total xG 2.737
League avg home goals 1.453
League avg away goals 1.145
Villarreal attack strength 1.421
Villarreal defence strength 0.877
Athletic Club attack strength 0.956
Athletic Club defence strength 0.861
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 44 / 44