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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 30

Kick-off

Sun 6 Apr 2025

20:00

Venue

Estadio de la Cerámica

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Villarreal Win

42%

Villarreal

2.41

25%

Draw

3.96

33%

Athletic Club

3.02

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.9%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

9.2%

Home win

2 – 1

8.8%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.48

Villarreal xG

Total xG

2.78

1.29

Athletic Club xG

42%
25%
33%
VillarrealDrawAthletic Club

2.41

42%

Home win

3.96

25%

Draw

3.02

33%

Away win

Goals Markets

76%

Over 1.5

1.32

24%

Under 1.5

4.17

52%

Over 2.5

1.92

48%

Under 2.5

2.08

30%

Over 3.5

3.33

70%

Under 3.5

1.43

15%

Over 4.5

6.67

85%

Under 4.5

1.18

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

56%

BTTS Yes

1.78

44%

BTTS No

2.28

Clean Sheet

27%

Villarreal

3.65

23%

Athletic Club

4.40

Win to Nil

11%

Villarreal

8.78

8%

Athletic Club

13.27

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.2 8.1 5.2 2.3 0.7 0.2
1 9.2 11.9 7.7 3.3 1.1 0.3
2 6.8 8.8 5.7 2.5 0.8 0.2
3 3.4 4.4 2.8 1.2 0.4 0.1
4 1.2 1.6 1.0 0.5 0.1
5 0.4 0.5 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.481
λ Away (xG) 1.295
Total xG 2.776
League avg home goals 1.367
League avg away goals 1.247
Villarreal attack strength 1.276
Villarreal defence strength 1.069
Athletic Club attack strength 0.972
Athletic Club defence strength 0.849
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 66 / 67