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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 31

Kick-off

Fri 11 Apr 2025

20:00

Venue

Estadio de Mestalla

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Sevilla Win

36%

Valencia

2.78

27%

Draw

3.77

37%

Sevilla

2.67

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.6%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

9.9%

Away win

1 – 0

9.7%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.27

Valencia xG

Total xG

2.57

1.30

Sevilla xG

36%
27%
37%
ValenciaDrawSevilla

2.78

36%

Home win

3.77

27%

Draw

2.67

37%

Away win

Goals Markets

73%

Over 1.5

1.37

27%

Under 1.5

3.70

47%

Over 2.5

2.13

53%

Under 2.5

1.89

26%

Over 3.5

3.85

74%

Under 3.5

1.35

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

52%

BTTS Yes

1.91

48%

BTTS No

2.10

Clean Sheet

27%

Valencia

3.67

28%

Sevilla

3.56

Win to Nil

10%

Valencia

10.21

11%

Sevilla

9.50

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.6 9.9 6.5 2.8 0.9 0.2
1 9.7 12.6 8.2 3.6 1.2 0.3
2 6.2 8.0 5.2 2.3 0.7 0.2
3 2.6 3.4 2.2 1.0 0.3 0.1
4 0.8 1.1 0.7 0.3 0.1
5 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.270
λ Away (xG) 1.301
Total xG 2.571
League avg home goals 1.353
League avg away goals 1.236
Valencia attack strength 0.945
Valencia defence strength 0.973
Sevilla attack strength 1.082
Sevilla defence strength 0.992
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 68 / 68