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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 20

Kick-off

Sun 19 Jan 2025

20:00

Venue

Estadio de Mestalla

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Real Sociedad Win

32%

Valencia

3.10

29%

Draw

3.48

39%

Real Sociedad

2.57

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.3%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

12.6%

Away win

1 – 0

11.2%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.05

Valencia xG

Total xG

2.24

1.19

Real Sociedad xG

32%
29%
39%
ValenciaDrawReal Sociedad

3.10

32%

Home win

3.48

29%

Draw

2.57

39%

Away win

Goals Markets

66%

Over 1.5

1.52

34%

Under 1.5

2.94

39%

Over 2.5

2.56

61%

Under 2.5

1.64

19%

Over 3.5

5.26

81%

Under 3.5

1.23

8%

Over 4.5

12.50

92%

Under 4.5

1.09

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

45%

BTTS Yes

2.21

55%

BTTS No

1.83

Clean Sheet

30%

Valencia

3.28

35%

Real Sociedad

2.87

Win to Nil

10%

Valencia

10.15

14%

Real Sociedad

7.36

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.6 12.6 7.5 3.0 0.9 0.2
1 11.2 13.3 7.9 3.1 0.9 0.2
2 5.9 7.0 4.2 1.6 0.5 0.1
3 2.1 2.5 1.5 0.6 0.2
4 0.5 0.6 0.4 0.2
5 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.054
λ Away (xG) 1.188
Total xG 2.242
League avg home goals 1.396
League avg away goals 1.171
Valencia attack strength 1.042
Valencia defence strength 1.129
Real Sociedad attack strength 0.899
Real Sociedad defence strength 0.725
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 57 / 57