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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 7

Kick-off

Tue 30 Sep 2025

19:00

Venue

Estadio de Mestalla

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Valencia Win

70%

Valencia

1.43

22%

Draw

4.60

8%

Oviedo

11.86

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

17.5%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

16.4%

Home win

3 – 0

10.2%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.86

Valencia xG

Total xG

2.36

0.50

Oviedo xG

70%
22%
ValenciaDrawOviedo

1.43

70%

Home win

4.60

22%

Draw

11.86

8%

Away win

Goals Markets

68%

Over 1.5

1.47

32%

Under 1.5

3.12

42%

Over 2.5

2.38

58%

Under 2.5

1.72

21%

Over 3.5

4.76

79%

Under 3.5

1.27

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

34%

BTTS Yes

2.96

66%

BTTS No

1.51

Clean Sheet

61%

Valencia

1.65

15%

Oviedo

6.46

Win to Nil

42%

Valencia

2.36

1%

Oviedo

76.58

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.4 4.7 1.2 0.2
1 17.5 8.8 2.2 0.4
2 16.4 8.2 2.0 0.3
3 10.2 5.1 1.3 0.2
4 4.7 2.4 0.6 0.1
5 1.8 0.9 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.865
λ Away (xG) 0.499
Total xG 2.364
League avg home goals 1.436
League avg away goals 1.122
Valencia attack strength 1.154
Valencia defence strength 0.772
Oviedo attack strength 0.576
Oviedo defence strength 1.126
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 44 / 6