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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 3

Kick-off

Fri 29 Aug 2025

20:30

Venue

Estadio de Mestalla

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Getafe Win

32%

Valencia

3.16

28%

Draw

3.55

40%

Getafe

2.49

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.2%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

12.4%

Away win

1 – 0

10.6%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.07

Valencia xG

Total xG

2.31

1.24

Getafe xG

32%
28%
40%
ValenciaDrawGetafe

3.16

32%

Home win

3.55

28%

Draw

2.49

40%

Away win

Goals Markets

67%

Over 1.5

1.49

33%

Under 1.5

3.03

41%

Over 2.5

2.44

59%

Under 2.5

1.69

20%

Over 3.5

5.00

80%

Under 3.5

1.25

8%

Over 4.5

12.50

92%

Under 4.5

1.09

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

47%

BTTS Yes

2.15

53%

BTTS No

1.87

Clean Sheet

29%

Valencia

3.46

34%

Getafe

2.90

Win to Nil

9%

Valencia

10.93

14%

Getafe

7.23

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.0 12.4 7.7 3.2 1.0 0.2
1 10.6 13.2 8.2 3.4 1.0 0.3
2 5.7 7.0 4.4 1.8 0.6 0.1
3 2.0 2.5 1.5 0.6 0.2
4 0.5 0.7 0.4 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.066
λ Away (xG) 1.240
Total xG 2.306
League avg home goals 1.357
League avg away goals 1.189
Valencia attack strength 0.954
Valencia defence strength 0.916
Getafe attack strength 1.138
Getafe defence strength 0.823
Data phase Blended
Games used (H/A) 40 / 40