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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 33

Kick-off

Tue 22 Apr 2025

18:00

Venue

Estadio de Mestalla

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Valencia Win

40%

Valencia

2.50

28%

Draw

3.62

32%

Espanyol

3.09

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.0%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

11.7%

Home win

0 – 1

10.2%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.27

Valencia xG

Total xG

2.39

1.12

Espanyol xG

40%
28%
32%
ValenciaDrawEspanyol

2.50

40%

Home win

3.62

28%

Draw

3.09

32%

Away win

Goals Markets

69%

Over 1.5

1.45

31%

Under 1.5

3.23

43%

Over 2.5

2.33

57%

Under 2.5

1.75

22%

Over 3.5

4.55

78%

Under 3.5

1.28

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

48%

BTTS Yes

2.06

52%

BTTS No

1.94

Clean Sheet

33%

Valencia

3.05

28%

Espanyol

3.58

Win to Nil

13%

Valencia

7.62

9%

Espanyol

11.07

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.2 10.2 5.7 2.1 0.6 0.1
1 11.7 13.0 7.3 2.7 0.8 0.2
2 7.4 8.3 4.6 1.7 0.5 0.1
3 3.2 3.5 2.0 0.7 0.2
4 1.0 1.1 0.6 0.2 0.1
5 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.275
λ Away (xG) 1.116
Total xG 2.391
League avg home goals 1.332
League avg away goals 1.261
Valencia attack strength 0.939
Valencia defence strength 0.866
Espanyol attack strength 1.022
Espanyol defence strength 1.019
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 70 / 31