Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 30

Kick-off

Sun 5 Apr 2026

15:15

Venue

Estadio de Mestalla

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Celta Vigo Win

34%

Valencia

2.91

28%

Draw

3.54

37%

Celta Vigo

2.67

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.0%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

11.1%

Away win

1 – 0

10.5%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.17

Valencia xG

Total xG

2.41

1.24

Celta Vigo xG

34%
28%
37%
ValenciaDrawCelta Vigo

2.91

34%

Home win

3.54

28%

Draw

2.67

37%

Away win

Goals Markets

69%

Over 1.5

1.45

31%

Under 1.5

3.23

43%

Over 2.5

2.33

57%

Under 2.5

1.75

22%

Over 3.5

4.55

78%

Under 3.5

1.28

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

49%

BTTS Yes

2.03

51%

BTTS No

1.98

Clean Sheet

29%

Valencia

3.45

31%

Celta Vigo

3.23

Win to Nil

10%

Valencia

10.06

12%

Celta Vigo

8.62

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.0 11.1 6.9 2.8 0.9 0.2
1 10.5 13.0 8.1 3.3 1.0 0.3
2 6.2 7.6 4.7 2.0 0.6 0.2
3 2.4 3.0 1.9 0.8 0.2 0.1
4 0.7 0.9 0.5 0.2 0.1
5 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.173
λ Away (xG) 1.239
Total xG 2.412
League avg home goals 1.552
League avg away goals 1.120
Valencia attack strength 0.916
Valencia defence strength 1.046
Celta Vigo attack strength 1.058
Celta Vigo defence strength 0.825
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 67 / 67