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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 22

Kick-off

Sun 2 Feb 2025

15:15

Venue

Estadio de Mestalla

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Valencia Win

55%

Valencia

1.81

22%

Draw

4.45

22%

Celta Vigo

4.49

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.5%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.9%

Home win

1 – 0

9.5%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.88

Valencia xG

Total xG

2.99

1.11

Celta Vigo xG

55%
22%
22%
ValenciaDrawCelta Vigo

1.81

55%

Home win

4.45

22%

Draw

4.49

22%

Away win

Goals Markets

80%

Over 1.5

1.25

20%

Under 1.5

5.00

57%

Over 2.5

1.75

43%

Under 2.5

2.33

35%

Over 3.5

2.86

65%

Under 3.5

1.54

18%

Over 4.5

5.56

82%

Under 4.5

1.22

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

57%

BTTS Yes

1.76

43%

BTTS No

2.32

Clean Sheet

33%

Valencia

3.04

15%

Celta Vigo

6.54

Win to Nil

18%

Valencia

5.50

3%

Celta Vigo

29.37

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.0 5.6 3.1 1.2 0.3 0.1
1 9.5 10.5 5.8 2.2 0.6 0.1
2 8.9 9.9 5.5 2.0 0.6 0.1
3 5.6 6.2 3.4 1.3 0.4 0.1
4 2.6 2.9 1.6 0.6 0.2
5 1.0 1.1 0.6 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.878
λ Away (xG) 1.111
Total xG 2.989
League avg home goals 1.399
League avg away goals 1.127
Valencia attack strength 1.057
Valencia defence strength 1.064
Celta Vigo attack strength 0.927
Celta Vigo defence strength 1.270
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 59 / 59