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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 38

Kick-off

Sat 23 May 2026

20:00

Venue

Estadio de Mestalla

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Barcelona Win

25%

Valencia

3.93

24%

Draw

4.10

50%

Barcelona

1.99

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.6%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

10.4%

Away win

1 – 2

9.6%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.11

Valencia xG

Total xG

2.76

1.66

Barcelona xG

25%
24%
50%
ValenciaDrawBarcelona

3.93

25%

Home win

4.10

24%

Draw

1.99

50%

Away win

Goals Markets

76%

Over 1.5

1.32

24%

Under 1.5

4.17

52%

Over 2.5

1.92

48%

Under 2.5

2.08

30%

Over 3.5

3.33

70%

Under 3.5

1.43

15%

Over 4.5

6.67

85%

Under 4.5

1.18

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

54%

BTTS Yes

1.85

46%

BTTS No

2.18

Clean Sheet

19%

Valencia

5.24

33%

Barcelona

3.03

Win to Nil

5%

Valencia

20.61

17%

Barcelona

6.03

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.3 10.4 8.7 4.8 2.0 0.7
1 7.0 11.6 9.6 5.3 2.2 0.7
2 3.9 6.4 5.3 2.9 1.2 0.4
3 1.4 2.4 2.0 1.1 0.4 0.1
4 0.4 0.7 0.5 0.3 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.107
λ Away (xG) 1.656
Total xG 2.763
League avg home goals 1.513
League avg away goals 1.142
Valencia attack strength 0.917
Valencia defence strength 1.168
Barcelona attack strength 1.241
Barcelona defence strength 0.798
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 75 / 75