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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 5

Kick-off

Sat 20 Sep 2025

20:00

Venue

Estadio de Mestalla

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Valencia Win

41%

Valencia

2.45

29%

Draw

3.50

31%

Athletic Club

3.27

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.2%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

12.9%

Home win

0 – 1

10.7%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.23

Valencia xG

Total xG

2.26

1.03

Athletic Club xG

41%
29%
31%
ValenciaDrawAthletic Club

2.45

41%

Home win

3.50

29%

Draw

3.27

31%

Away win

Goals Markets

66%

Over 1.5

1.52

34%

Under 1.5

2.94

39%

Over 2.5

2.56

61%

Under 2.5

1.64

19%

Over 3.5

5.26

81%

Under 3.5

1.23

8%

Over 4.5

12.50

92%

Under 4.5

1.09

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

46%

BTTS Yes

2.19

54%

BTTS No

1.84

Clean Sheet

36%

Valencia

2.79

29%

Athletic Club

3.43

Win to Nil

15%

Valencia

6.83

9%

Athletic Club

11.24

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.4 10.7 5.5 1.9 0.5 0.1
1 12.9 13.2 6.8 2.3 0.6 0.1
2 7.9 8.2 4.2 1.4 0.4 0.1
3 3.3 3.4 1.7 0.6 0.2
4 1.0 1.0 0.5 0.2
5 0.2 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.234
λ Away (xG) 1.027
Total xG 2.261
League avg home goals 1.456
League avg away goals 1.158
Valencia attack strength 1.082
Valencia defence strength 0.832
Athletic Club attack strength 1.065
Athletic Club defence strength 0.784
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 42 / 42