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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 37

Kick-off

Sun 18 May 2025

18:00

Venue

Estadio de Mestalla

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Valencia Win

35%

Valencia

2.87

34%

Draw

2.99

32%

Athletic Club

3.16

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 0

17.5%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

15.8%

Home win

0 – 1

14.7%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.90

Valencia xG

Total xG

1.74

0.84

Athletic Club xG

35%
34%
32%
ValenciaDrawAthletic Club

2.87

35%

Home win

2.99

34%

Draw

3.16

32%

Away win

Goals Markets

52%

Over 1.5

1.92

48%

Under 1.5

2.08

25%

Over 2.5

4.00

75%

Under 2.5

1.33

10%

Over 3.5

10.00

90%

Under 3.5

1.11

3%

Over 4.5

33.33

97%

Under 4.5

1.03

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

34%

BTTS Yes

2.96

66%

BTTS No

1.51

Clean Sheet

43%

Valencia

2.32

41%

Athletic Club

2.46

Win to Nil

15%

Valencia

6.65

13%

Athletic Club

7.80

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 17.5 14.7 6.2 1.7 0.4 0.1
1 15.8 13.3 5.6 1.6 0.3 0.1
2 7.1 6.0 2.5 0.7 0.1
3 2.1 1.8 0.8 0.2
4 0.5 0.4 0.2
5 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.902
λ Away (xG) 0.842
Total xG 1.744
League avg home goals 1.384
League avg away goals 1.164
Valencia attack strength 1.019
Valencia defence strength 0.842
Athletic Club attack strength 0.860
Athletic Club defence strength 0.639
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 74 / 74