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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 6

Kick-off

Tue 23 Sep 2025

20:30

Venue

Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Sevilla Win

38%

Sevilla

2.62

29%

Draw

3.50

33%

Villarreal

3.01

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.5%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.1%

Home win

0 – 1

9.3%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.35

Sevilla xG

Total xG

2.60

1.25

Villarreal xG

38%
29%
33%
SevillaDrawVillarreal

2.62

38%

Home win

3.50

29%

Draw

3.01

33%

Away win

Goals Markets

73%

Over 1.5

1.37

27%

Under 1.5

3.70

48%

Over 2.5

2.08

52%

Under 2.5

1.92

26%

Over 3.5

3.85

74%

Under 3.5

1.35

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

54%

BTTS Yes

1.85

46%

BTTS No

2.17

Clean Sheet

29%

Sevilla

3.48

26%

Villarreal

3.87

Win to Nil

11%

Sevilla

9.10

9%

Villarreal

11.67

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.4 9.3 5.8 2.4 0.7 0.2
1 10.1 12.5 7.8 3.2 1.0 0.3
2 6.8 8.5 5.3 2.2 0.7 0.2
3 3.1 3.8 2.4 1.0 0.3 0.1
4 1.0 1.3 0.8 0.3 0.1
5 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.354
λ Away (xG) 1.246
Total xG 2.600
League avg home goals 1.448
League avg away goals 1.125
Sevilla attack strength 0.944
Sevilla defence strength 1.212
Villarreal attack strength 0.915
Villarreal defence strength 0.991
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 43 / 43