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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 34

Kick-off

Mon 4 May 2026

20:00

Venue

Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Real Sociedad Win

37%

Sevilla

2.69

24%

Draw

4.12

38%

Real Sociedad

2.60

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.2%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 2

8.5%

Away win

2 – 1

8.3%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.49

Sevilla xG

Total xG

3.00

1.52

Real Sociedad xG

37%
24%
38%
SevillaDrawReal Sociedad

2.69

37%

Home win

4.12

24%

Draw

2.60

38%

Away win

Goals Markets

80%

Over 1.5

1.25

20%

Under 1.5

5.00

58%

Over 2.5

1.72

42%

Under 2.5

2.38

35%

Over 3.5

2.86

65%

Under 3.5

1.54

19%

Over 4.5

5.26

81%

Under 4.5

1.23

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

60%

BTTS Yes

1.65

40%

BTTS No

2.53

Clean Sheet

22%

Sevilla

4.56

23%

Real Sociedad

4.43

Win to Nil

8%

Sevilla

12.24

9%

Real Sociedad

11.50

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.0 7.5 5.7 2.9 1.1 0.3
1 7.4 11.2 8.5 4.3 1.6 0.5
2 5.5 8.3 6.3 3.2 1.2 0.4
3 2.7 4.1 3.1 1.6 0.6 0.2
4 1.0 1.5 1.2 0.6 0.2 0.1
5 0.3 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.488
λ Away (xG) 1.517
Total xG 3.005
League avg home goals 1.542
League avg away goals 1.170
Sevilla attack strength 0.839
Sevilla defence strength 1.093
Real Sociedad attack strength 1.186
Real Sociedad defence strength 1.151
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 71 / 71