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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 37

Kick-off

Sun 17 May 2026

18:00

Venue

Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Real Madrid Win

30%

Sevilla

3.35

28%

Draw

3.56

42%

Real Madrid

2.38

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.1%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

12.8%

Away win

1 – 0

10.3%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.02

Sevilla xG

Total xG

2.30

1.27

Real Madrid xG

30%
28%
42%
SevillaDrawReal Madrid

3.35

30%

Home win

3.56

28%

Draw

2.38

42%

Away win

Goals Markets

67%

Over 1.5

1.49

33%

Under 1.5

3.03

40%

Over 2.5

2.50

60%

Under 2.5

1.67

20%

Over 3.5

5.00

80%

Under 3.5

1.25

8%

Over 4.5

12.50

92%

Under 4.5

1.09

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

46%

BTTS Yes

2.17

54%

BTTS No

1.86

Clean Sheet

28%

Sevilla

3.56

36%

Real Madrid

2.79

Win to Nil

8%

Sevilla

11.94

15%

Real Madrid

6.63

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.1 12.8 8.1 3.4 1.1 0.3
1 10.3 13.1 8.3 3.5 1.1 0.3
2 5.3 6.7 4.3 1.8 0.6 0.1
3 1.8 2.3 1.5 0.6 0.2
4 0.5 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.025
λ Away (xG) 1.271
Total xG 2.296
League avg home goals 1.516
League avg away goals 1.149
Sevilla attack strength 0.867
Sevilla defence strength 0.982
Real Madrid attack strength 1.127
Real Madrid defence strength 0.779
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 74 / 74