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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 27

Kick-off

Sun 8 Mar 2026

17:30

Venue

Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Sevilla Win

46%

Sevilla

2.17

27%

Draw

3.72

27%

Rayo Vallecano

3.71

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.7%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

12.6%

Home win

0 – 0

9.0%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.41

Sevilla xG

Total xG

2.41

1.01

Rayo Vallecano xG

46%
27%
27%
SevillaDrawRayo Vallecano

2.17

46%

Home win

3.72

27%

Draw

3.71

27%

Away win

Goals Markets

69%

Over 1.5

1.45

31%

Under 1.5

3.23

43%

Over 2.5

2.33

57%

Under 2.5

1.75

22%

Over 3.5

4.55

78%

Under 3.5

1.28

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

48%

BTTS Yes

2.09

52%

BTTS No

1.92

Clean Sheet

37%

Sevilla

2.73

25%

Rayo Vallecano

4.08

Win to Nil

17%

Sevilla

5.93

7%

Rayo Vallecano

15.12

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.0 9.0 4.5 1.5 0.4 0.1
1 12.6 12.7 6.4 2.1 0.5 0.1
2 8.9 8.9 4.5 1.5 0.4 0.1
3 4.1 4.2 2.1 0.7 0.2
4 1.5 1.5 0.7 0.2 0.1
5 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.405
λ Away (xG) 1.006
Total xG 2.411
League avg home goals 1.506
League avg away goals 1.136
Sevilla attack strength 0.862
Sevilla defence strength 1.131
Rayo Vallecano attack strength 0.783
Rayo Vallecano defence strength 1.082
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 64 / 64