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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 16

Kick-off

Sun 14 Dec 2025

13:00

Venue

Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Sevilla Win

48%

Sevilla

2.08

26%

Draw

3.88

26%

Oviedo

3.83

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.2%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

11.8%

Home win

2 – 1

9.3%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.51

Sevilla xG

Total xG

2.56

1.04

Oviedo xG

48%
26%
26%
SevillaDrawOviedo

2.08

48%

Home win

3.88

26%

Draw

3.83

26%

Away win

Goals Markets

72%

Over 1.5

1.39

28%

Under 1.5

3.57

47%

Over 2.5

2.13

53%

Under 2.5

1.89

25%

Over 3.5

4.00

75%

Under 3.5

1.33

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

50%

BTTS Yes

1.98

50%

BTTS No

2.02

Clean Sheet

35%

Sevilla

2.83

22%

Oviedo

4.54

Win to Nil

17%

Sevilla

5.89

6%

Oviedo

17.43

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.8 8.1 4.2 1.5 0.4 0.1
1 11.8 12.2 6.4 2.2 0.6 0.1
2 8.9 9.3 4.8 1.7 0.4 0.1
3 4.5 4.7 2.4 0.8 0.2
4 1.7 1.8 0.9 0.3 0.1
5 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.514
λ Away (xG) 1.042
Total xG 2.556
League avg home goals 1.357
League avg away goals 1.117
Sevilla attack strength 0.935
Sevilla defence strength 1.192
Oviedo attack strength 0.783
Oviedo defence strength 1.193
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 53 / 15