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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 34

Kick-off

Sun 4 May 2025

15:15

Venue

Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Sevilla Win

43%

Sevilla

2.35

29%

Draw

3.45

28%

Leganes

3.51

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

14.0%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

13.2%

Draw

0 – 0

11.4%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.23

Sevilla xG

Total xG

2.17

0.95

Leganes xG

43%
29%
28%
SevillaDrawLeganes

2.35

43%

Home win

3.45

29%

Draw

3.51

28%

Away win

Goals Markets

64%

Over 1.5

1.56

36%

Under 1.5

2.78

37%

Over 2.5

2.70

63%

Under 2.5

1.59

17%

Over 3.5

5.88

83%

Under 3.5

1.20

7%

Over 4.5

14.29

93%

Under 4.5

1.08

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

43%

BTTS Yes

2.31

57%

BTTS No

1.76

Clean Sheet

39%

Sevilla

2.58

29%

Leganes

3.40

Win to Nil

17%

Sevilla

6.05

8%

Leganes

11.96

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 11.4 10.8 5.1 1.6 0.4 0.1
1 14.0 13.2 6.3 2.0 0.5 0.1
2 8.6 8.1 3.8 1.2 0.3 0.1
3 3.5 3.3 1.6 0.5 0.1
4 1.1 1.0 0.5 0.2
5 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.225
λ Away (xG) 0.946
Total xG 2.171
League avg home goals 1.360
League avg away goals 1.194
Sevilla attack strength 0.804
Sevilla defence strength 1.065
Leganes attack strength 0.744
Leganes defence strength 1.121
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 71 / 33