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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 8

Kick-off

Sun 5 Oct 2025

15:15

Venue

Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Barcelona Win

20%

Sevilla

5.05

22%

Draw

4.56

58%

Barcelona

1.72

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 2

9.8%

Away win

Most likely

1 – 1

9.4%

Draw

0 – 2

8.5%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.16

Sevilla xG

Total xG

3.25

2.09

Barcelona xG

20%
22%
58%
SevillaDrawBarcelona

5.05

20%

Home win

4.56

22%

Draw

1.72

58%

Away win

Goals Markets

84%

Over 1.5

1.19

16%

Under 1.5

6.25

63%

Over 2.5

1.59

37%

Under 2.5

2.70

41%

Over 3.5

2.44

59%

Under 3.5

1.69

23%

Over 4.5

4.35

77%

Under 4.5

1.30

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

61%

BTTS Yes

1.65

39%

BTTS No

2.55

Clean Sheet

12%

Sevilla

8.12

31%

Barcelona

3.18

Win to Nil

2%

Sevilla

41.02

18%

Barcelona

5.46

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.9 8.1 8.5 5.9 3.1 1.3
1 4.5 9.4 9.8 6.9 3.6 1.5
2 2.6 5.4 5.7 4.0 2.1 0.9
3 1.0 2.1 2.2 1.5 0.8 0.3
4 0.3 0.6 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.158
λ Away (xG) 2.094
Total xG 3.252
League avg home goals 1.462
League avg away goals 1.145
Sevilla attack strength 0.890
Sevilla defence strength 1.261
Barcelona attack strength 1.450
Barcelona defence strength 0.889
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 45 / 45