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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 28

Kick-off

Sun 16 Mar 2025

15:15

Venue

Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Athletic Club Win

28%

Sevilla

3.53

28%

Draw

3.61

44%

Athletic Club

2.27

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

12.9%

Away win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.9%

Draw

1 – 0

9.8%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.01

Sevilla xG

Total xG

2.33

1.33

Athletic Club xG

28%
28%
44%
SevillaDrawAthletic Club

3.53

28%

Home win

3.61

28%

Draw

2.27

44%

Away win

Goals Markets

68%

Over 1.5

1.47

32%

Under 1.5

3.12

41%

Over 2.5

2.44

59%

Under 2.5

1.69

21%

Over 3.5

4.76

79%

Under 3.5

1.27

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

47%

BTTS Yes

2.15

53%

BTTS No

1.87

Clean Sheet

27%

Sevilla

3.77

37%

Athletic Club

2.73

Win to Nil

8%

Sevilla

13.32

16%

Athletic Club

6.21

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.7 12.9 8.5 3.8 1.3 0.3
1 9.8 12.9 8.6 3.8 1.3 0.3
2 4.9 6.5 4.3 1.9 0.6 0.2
3 1.6 2.2 1.4 0.6 0.2 0.1
4 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.006
λ Away (xG) 1.327
Total xG 2.333
League avg home goals 1.425
League avg away goals 1.134
Sevilla attack strength 0.791
Sevilla defence strength 1.103
Athletic Club attack strength 1.061
Athletic Club defence strength 0.893
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 65 / 65