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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 4

Kick-off

Sat 13 Sep 2025

15:15

Venue

Reale Arena

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Real Madrid Win

28%

Real Sociedad

3.56

25%

Draw

3.98

47%

Real Madrid

2.14

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.9%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

10.3%

Away win

1 – 2

9.3%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.15

Real Sociedad xG

Total xG

2.72

1.56

Real Madrid xG

28%
25%
47%
Real SociedadDrawReal Madrid

3.56

28%

Home win

3.98

25%

Draw

2.14

47%

Away win

Goals Markets

75%

Over 1.5

1.33

25%

Under 1.5

4.00

51%

Over 2.5

1.96

49%

Under 2.5

2.04

29%

Over 3.5

3.45

71%

Under 3.5

1.41

14%

Over 4.5

7.14

86%

Under 4.5

1.16

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

54%

BTTS Yes

1.85

46%

BTTS No

2.18

Clean Sheet

21%

Real Sociedad

4.78

32%

Real Madrid

3.17

Win to Nil

6%

Real Sociedad

17.00

15%

Real Madrid

6.78

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.6 10.3 8.1 4.2 1.6 0.5
1 7.6 11.9 9.3 4.9 1.9 0.6
2 4.4 6.9 5.4 2.8 1.1 0.3
3 1.7 2.6 2.1 1.1 0.4 0.1
4 0.5 0.8 0.6 0.3 0.1
5 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.154
λ Away (xG) 1.564
Total xG 2.718
League avg home goals 1.378
League avg away goals 1.136
Real Sociedad attack strength 1.002
Real Sociedad defence strength 1.071
Real Madrid attack strength 1.285
Real Madrid defence strength 0.836
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 41 / 41