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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 18

Kick-off

Sun 22 Dec 2024

15:15

Venue

Estadio Santiago Bernabéu

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Real Madrid Win

66%

Real Madrid

1.51

18%

Draw

5.53

16%

Sevilla

6.33

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

9.6%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

8.7%

Home win

1 – 1

8.0%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.40

Real Madrid xG

Total xG

3.50

1.10

Sevilla xG

66%
18%
16%
Real MadridDrawSevilla

1.51

66%

Home win

5.53

18%

Draw

6.33

16%

Away win

Goals Markets

86%

Over 1.5

1.16

14%

Under 1.5

7.14

68%

Over 2.5

1.47

32%

Under 2.5

3.12

46%

Over 3.5

2.17

54%

Under 3.5

1.85

27%

Over 4.5

3.70

73%

Under 4.5

1.37

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

61%

BTTS Yes

1.65

39%

BTTS No

2.54

Clean Sheet

33%

Real Madrid

3.00

9%

Sevilla

11.00

Win to Nil

22%

Real Madrid

4.54

1%

Sevilla

69.58

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.0 3.3 1.8 0.7 0.2
1 7.3 8.0 4.4 1.6 0.4 0.1
2 8.7 9.6 5.3 1.9 0.5 0.1
3 7.0 7.7 4.2 1.5 0.4 0.1
4 4.2 4.6 2.5 0.9 0.3 0.1
5 2.0 2.2 1.2 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.398
λ Away (xG) 1.098
Total xG 3.496
League avg home goals 1.416
League avg away goals 1.155
Real Madrid attack strength 1.357
Real Madrid defence strength 0.873
Sevilla attack strength 1.090
Sevilla defence strength 1.248
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 55 / 55